(External Content) Cyber Deterrence Theory

Abstract: This study endeavors to identify the shortfalls of the United States current utilization of deterrence theory in light of a growing amount of asymmetric warfare, warfare from afar, and cyber warfare that may rise to the level of weapons of mass destruction level. It proposes that this deterrence theory should be modernized to less developing a strategic common practice where some aggression is tolerated, and intolerable acts of aggression are retaliated with through diplomatic and economic tools against individuals involved within the organization perpetuating the aggression.

Citation: Hallock, Danial (2018).  "Modernizing Deterrence Theory." AMU. Accessed at: https://www.danialhallock.com/blog/2018/4/1/modernizing-deterrence-theory

Related Articles: Paradox of ProgressRedefining the Cold War; Syria, North Korea, and Trump

Abstract: This study identifies prior authoritative research into attribution assessments, their shortfalls, and recommends several potential avenues of improvement, namely the targeting of individual persons within non-state actors and advanced persistent threat actors conducting cyber attacks against the U.S. and her allies utilizing prior research into pyschology and motivational theories. 

Citation: Hallock, Danial (2018).  "Solving the Issue of Attribution, Targeting, and Retaliation." AMU. Accessed at: https://www.danialhallock.com/blog/2018/4/1/modernizing-deterrence-theory

Related Articles: When Bots Become Bombs, Paradox of Progress, The Accidental World War



Monetizing My Blog

Monetizing My Blog

This is a fairly in depth research project about the best practices of blogging, monetizing your blog, and my lukewarm implementation (and very marginal success) of these highly regarded "best practices."  Most people would say something like "I followed these practices and increased my revenue by 9,000 percent," but realistically - this website still costs about 3x what it makes.

Tax Cuts for Good

Tax Cuts for Good

The Republican Party recently passed a tax bill that is bad for America, but good for some Americans.  As one of those Americans, I had to figure out how I was going to use that benefit:  Purchase a new computer? Pay down the $14,000 in student loan debt my wife and I have? Go on a small vacation to Alaska?

Ultimately, we decided against all of these options, preferring to reinvest the benefit into the people and communities that will almost certainly be robbed to pay for it. In doing so, I set out to begin a three-part journey into identifying the most efficient, progressive, and beneficial charities, lobbying organizations, and political action committees that are taking on this fight for us.

Paradox of Progress

Paradox of Progress

Every five years the Director of National Intelligence releases a pretty substantial report on growing trends and they've recently released one called "The Paradox of Progress."  It's a fairly substantial report with numerous implications on American geopolitical positioning based on the assessments and assumptions made within it, and it's a report that most Americans will never consider reading. So I wanted to unpack it, key point by key point, and provide context as much as possible to help at least a handful of Americans slug through it.

The Third U.S. National Climate Assessment

The Third U.S. National Climate Assessment

The Washington Post reported yesterday that the Third U.S. National Climate Assessment (NCA3)  published a rather dire scientific report Friday detailing the growing threats of climate change. The report stands in stark contrast to the administration’s efforts to downplay humans’ role in global warming, withdraw from an international climate accord and reverse Obama-era policies aimed at curbing U.S. greenhouse-gas output.

Meanwhile, the U.S. continues to attempt to deny the existence of climate change while Chinese leadership assumes the mantle of combating it, and Russia repositions its naval and air forces, and petroleum industry, to benefit from it.  The current Secretary of Defense, Mattis, at least recognizes the instability that Climate Change can bring, but he seems decidedly alone in this Administration.

Unfortunately, consumer consumption reductions alone cannot stop or reverse Climate Change.  This is a global crisis that requires a global response - starting with our elected officials. Vote for Democrats or Common-Sense Republicans at your local, state, and federal levels.  If you have the ability:  Donate to their campaigns.

F35's arrive at Kadena

F35's arrive at Kadena

Pilots, maintainers and support personnel from the active duty 388th and Reserve 419th Fighter Wings and 12 F-35A Lightning II jets will travel to Kadena Air Base for six months as part of the U.S.’s ongoing security presence in the area, known as a theater security package.  This is the second deployment of the F-35As stationed at Hill AFB, following a short show of force in RAF Lakenheath earlier this year.

Bush, Xi, and McCain walk into an Auditorium

Bush, Xi, and McCain walk into an Auditorium

The face of conflict is changing.  While leaders like Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump still see conflict in the traditional light, many of their peers - and certainly the next generation - see conflict differently:  Cultural, Economical, and Ecological. The kinetic warfare of the 19th and 20th century is a relic of past generations, a fact never more poignant than after recent speeches by three prominent politicians across two countries.

When Bots Become Bombs

When Bots Become Bombs

Ambiguity in cyberspace and the legality of hacking and manipulating sovereign nations; does it benefit the attacker, or the victim?  We've all but survived the potential catastrophe of the 2016 election, and the Russian interference within it, but what does that mean for the future of cyber and psychological warfare throughout the world?

New Opportunities & A Book Recommendation

New Opportunities & A Book Recommendation

In late May, a former supervisor contacted me about an exciting new position he was helping to create conducting predictive cyber threat analysis, and in mid-June, I accepted a job offer to work for him. Moving from IT security implementation to IT security research & development was a huge intellectual challenge for me, and it's only been recently that I've been able to consider pursuing other intellectual hobbies, like blogging - or reading. The first novel I picked up was recommended to me by other security researchers: Ghost Fleet; it's only fitting that my return to blogging be about that novel.

While the plot of Ghost Fleet is very Tom Clancy's The Hunt for Red October-esque, it's better sourced and details a only slightly less probable prelude to war for which Tom Clancy was famous.  Ghost Fleet depicts a dramatic fight-for-survival scenario wherein an arrogant and complacent America is caught off guard by a virtual (and literal) Pearl Harbor attack by the Chinese. The U.S., now denied its ability to utilize satellites for precision guided munitions, encrypted communications, and Google Glass (called "viz" in the novel) is now in a fight for survival against a technologically superior enemy. Left to repel the invaders using guerrilla-style tactics and antiquated pre-digital technologies, America can no longer rely on its technological advantage that enabled the humble JDAM and the fearsome F-35.

My First Two Years as an Author

My First Two Years as an Author

It was roughly two years ago today that I started my blog and released my first short story, DAISY, and set my first nonfiction work, Understanding IT. I wanted to take a step back to look at the performance of my various projects, and I realized something very important:  Advertising is incredibly important, and something that I've completely neglected.